How much revenue did Quiplash make?

$304k–$816k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Quiplash sell?

Q: How many copies did Quiplash sell?

110k to 180k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 110k–180k; $304k–$816k after Steam's cut $552k–$1.3M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Quiplash and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Quiplash's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.0M–12.3M

best case 105.1M (Garry's Mod)

Games like Quiplash

A typical game among these

≈ 9.0M–12.3M copies

≈ $62.5M–$96.0M after Steam's cut

from ~227k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Physics (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 80.0M–130.1M copies, ≈ $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Physics (3 of 8) and Sandbox (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sandbox + Moddable, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Building + Casual + Moddable; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	321k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	156k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Stumble Guys 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	139k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayBattle Royale
Castle Crashers® 2012	Est. copies ≈ 8.9M–14.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2DOnline Co-Op