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How many copies did QUIET DAN sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 38k–61k
$21k–$55k after Steam's cut $37k–$85k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid QUIET DAN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including QUIET DAN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26k–2.4M
best case 5.7M (Everlasting Summer)
Games like QUIET DAN

A typical game among these

≈ 26k–2.4M copies

≈ $150k–$17.9M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Everlasting Summer at ≈ 4.4M–7.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 127 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 408.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Story Rich.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
Chicken Police - Paint it RED!
2020
Est. copies
≈ 63k–103k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$348k–$935k after Steam's cut $632k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Everlasting Summer
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
Night Call
2019
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$89k–$240k after Steam's cut $162k–$369k before Steam's cut
$14.99
752 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieSimulation
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
MAMIYA
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$73k–$196k after Steam's cut $133k–$302k before Steam's cut
$19.99
535 reviews
Very Positive
The Wolf Among Us
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureDetective
Read Only Memories: NEURODIVER
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut
$14.99
226 reviews
Mostly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel

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