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How many copies did College Escape sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 570–927
$469–$1k after Steam's cut $852–$2k before Steam's cut
from 23 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid College Escape and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including College Escape's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–636k
best case 13.9M (R.E.P.O.)
Games like College Escape

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–636k copies

≈ $30k–$13.3M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: R.E.P.O. at ≈ 10.6M–17.2M copies, ≈ $29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 67k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Dystopian (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Comedy, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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