How much revenue did Dusky Cap make?

$14–$36 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dusky Cap sell?

Q: How many copies did Dusky Cap sell?

50 to 81 copies, based on its 2 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 50–81; $14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut; from 2 reviews (2 user reviews); Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dusky Cap and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dusky Cap's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.8M–19.5M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Dusky Cap

A typical game among these

≈ 6.8M–19.5M copies

≈ $55.1M–$341.4M after Steam's cut

from ~264k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sandbox (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 55k reviews in their first month; the range was 21k to 86k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (3 of 8) and FPS (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Shooter + FPS. The breakout hits carry Shooter + FPS + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	154k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSimulation
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 76.0M–123.4M 5.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.6M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
Hearts of Iron IV 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.1M–24.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	363k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.7M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut $473.7M–$1077.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	380k reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	200k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder
Cities: Skylines 2015	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	291k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Simulation