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How many copies did Three Days sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$918–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 98 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Three Days and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Three Days's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k
best case 11k (Grindstone)
Games like Three Days

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $2k–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~37 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Grindstone at ≈ 9k–14k copies, ≈ $47k–$127k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 52.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Arcade (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Arcade + Puzzle, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Hack and Slash + Collectathon + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

11
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
71 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Flesh Psychosis
2025
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$466–$1k after Steam's cut $848–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.28
30 reviews
Positive
PhysicsClicker
Dale Hardshovel HD
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$3.99
40 reviews
Mixed
IndieCasual
Grindstone
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
9.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$47k–$127k after Steam's cut $86k–$195k before Steam's cut
$19.99
346 reviews
Very Positive
CasualArcade
3x64
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37 reviews
Positive
CasualIndie
Alchemistry
2022
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$920–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
27 reviews
Positive
CasualArcade
GOLF MONSTER
2020
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
35 reviews
Mostly Positive
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Minesweeper Collector 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$9.99
103 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAdventure

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