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How many copies did WildStar sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 213k–346k
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WildStar and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WildStar's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 701k–2.7M
best case 25.0M (Destiny 2)
Games like WildStar

A typical game among these

≈ 701k–2.7M copies

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Destiny 2 at ≈ 19.1M–31.0M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and MMORPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Looter Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phantasy Star Online 2 New Genesis
2020
Est. copies
≈ 613k–995k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
25k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCharacter Customization
STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
76k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.1M–31.0M
29x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
663k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
EVE Online
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceFree to Play
Tower of Fantasy
2022
Est. copies
≈ 299k–486k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Mixed
AnimeMMORPG
Star Trek Online
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
21k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySci-fi
Defiance
2014
Est. copies
≈ 706k–1.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayLooter Shooter
Skyforge
2017
Est. copies
≈ 150k–244k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayMassively Multiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.