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How big is Star Trek Online?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
from 21k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Star Trek Online and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Star Trek Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–16k
best case 2.5M (STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™)
Games like Star Trek Online

A typical game among these

≈ 10k–16k copies

≈ $36k–$67k after Steam's cut

from ~362 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™ at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 212 reviews in their first month; the range was 28 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share MMORPG (6 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + RPG + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SPACERIFT: Arcanum System
2020
Est. copies
≈ 13k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$44k–$119k after Steam's cut $81k–$184k before Steam's cut
$12.90
505 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessMassively Multiplayer
STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
209x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
76k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
EVE Online
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
109x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Free
Free
40k reviews
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SpaceFree to Play
Astro Lords
2015
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≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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231 reviews
Mixed
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2020
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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485 reviews
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Dual Universe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
1.6x vs typical
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The Infinite Black 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
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238 reviews
Very Positive
Space SimOpen World
Subspace Discovery
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.