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How many copies did Dual Universe sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
from 565 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dual Universe and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dual Universe's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–5.9M
best case 9.4M (Kerbal Space Program)
Games like Dual Universe

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–5.9M copies

≈ $19.5M–$53.9M after Steam's cut

from ~92k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Kerbal Space Program at ≈ 7.2M–11.7M copies, ≈ $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 26k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Space (6 of 8) and Building (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Space + Simulation, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Trove
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
93k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
Dyson Sphere Program
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationSpace
X4: Foundations
2018
Est. copies
≈ 920k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.0M after Steam's cut $23.0M–$52.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSimulation
Exocraft
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
356 reviews
Mixed
SpaceshipsMassively Multiplayer
Kerbal Space Program
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SpaceSimulation
Empyrion - Galactic Survival
2020
Est. copies
≈ 854k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Mostly Positive
Starfighter General
2020
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32 reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSpace
Star Sonata 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
293 reviews
Mixed
SpaceSandbox

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.