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How big is Star Sonata 2?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 7k–12k
from 293 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Star Sonata 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Star Sonata 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 16k–4.9M
best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Star Sonata 2

A typical game among these

≈ 16k–4.9M copies

≈ $432k–$267.2M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 281 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 145k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

EVE Online
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceFree to Play
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
252x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Dual Universe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565 reviews
Mixed
Massively MultiplayerMMORPG
Astro Lords
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
231 reviews
Mixed
SpaceMassively Multiplayer
CSC | Space MMO
2020
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
485 reviews
Mixed
Massively MultiplayerSpace
Rise - The Vieneo Province
2020
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$19.99
29 reviews
Mostly Positive
FlightExploration
Boundless
2018
Est. copies
≈ 84k–137k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$464k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $844k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
New World: Aeternum
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
178x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
297k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldMassively Multiplayer

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