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How big is Exocraft?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 10k–17k
from 356 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Exocraft and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Exocraft's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 498k–834k
best case 3.3M (EVE Online)
Games like Exocraft

A typical game among these

≈ 498k–834k copies

≈ $4.5M–$8.8M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: EVE Online at ≈ 2.5M–4.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 26k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Management (4 of 7) and Simulation (3 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Space + Open World.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

EVE Online
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceFree to Play
Youtubers Life
2017
Est. copies
≈ 530k–862k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
ManagementSingleplayer
Shop Titans
2020
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
IdlerShop Keeper
IdleOn - The Incremental MMO
2025
Est. copies
≈ 741k–1.2M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
IdlerPixel Graphics
ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV
2020
Est. copies
≈ 404k–656k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
16k reviews
Mixed
Nobody - The Turnaround
2022
Est. copies
≈ 355k–576k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessLife Sim
Project Hospital
2018
Est. copies
≈ 286k–464k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Medical SimCity Builder

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