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How big is Thunder Tier One?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 143k–232k
from 6k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thunder Tier One and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thunder Tier One's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 365k–1.2M
best case 1.5M (Super Animal Royale)
Games like Thunder Tier One

A typical game among these

≈ 365k–1.2M copies

≈ $2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Super Animal Royale at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and Top-Down Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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