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How many copies did The Cat Machine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$30k–$81k after Steam's cut $54k–$124k before Steam's cut
from 149 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Cat Machine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Cat Machine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–123k
best case 627k (A Little to the Left)
Games like The Cat Machine

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–123k copies

≈ $6k–$425k after Steam's cut

from ~306 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Little to the Left at ≈ 478k–777k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 46 reviews in their first month; the range was 24 to 579.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Cats (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Wholesome, priced around $15.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

while True: learn()
2019
Est. copies
≈ 237k–386k
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingSimulation
Unlock The Cat
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$2.99
148 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle
A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
63x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
CATch the Stars
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$1.99
392 reviews
Very Positive
CatsCute
CATch the Stars: Japan
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$1.99
144 reviews
Very Positive
CatsRelaxing
Cat Slide Tiles
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$2.99
155 reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingPuzzle
Kittens and Yarn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$1.99
219 reviews
Very Positive
CatsCute
Sudocats
2022
Est. copies
≈ 46k–74k
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualCats

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.