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How many copies did while True: learn() sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 237k–386k
$848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid while True: learn() and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including while True: learn()'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 251k–392k
best case 2.0M (Stormworks: Build and Rescue)
Games like while True: learn()

A typical game among these

≈ 251k–392k copies

≈ $1.4M–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stormworks: Build and Rescue at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Programming (6 of 8) and Automation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Base-Building, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Sandbox + Base-Building + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SHENZHEN I/O
2016
Est. copies
≈ 189k–306k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$777k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingAutomation
Turing Complete
2021
Est. copies
≈ 144k–233k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ProgrammingLogic
Stormworks: Build and Rescue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxBase-Building
Human Resource Machine
2015
Est. copies
≈ 230k–373k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$946k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingPuzzle
Hacknet
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
HackingSimulation
TIS-100
2015
Est. copies
≈ 201k–326k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$6.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ProgrammingPuzzle
SpaceChem
2011
Est. copies
≈ 322k–523k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$884k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleDifficult
RPG Maker VX Ace
2012
Est. copies
≈ 328k–533k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.1M before Steam's cut
$69.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentRPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.