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How many copies did Kittens and Yarn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
from 219 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kittens and Yarn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kittens and Yarn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 147k–417k
best case 5.8M (Stray)
Games like Kittens and Yarn

A typical game among these

≈ 147k–417k copies

≈ $176k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stray at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 485 reviews in their first month; the range was 117 to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cats (5 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cats + Cyberpunk, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Atmospheric + Cyberpunk + Robots; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
37x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
179k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure
while True: learn()
2019
Est. copies
≈ 237k–386k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingSimulation
Cats Organized Neatly
2020
Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$99k–$265k after Steam's cut $180k–$408k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsPuzzle
A Castle Full of Cats
2022
Est. copies
≈ 112k–183k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$123k–$332k after Steam's cut $224k–$511k before Steam's cut
$3.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsHidden Object
A Building Full of Cats
2022
Est. copies
≈ 112k–182k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$92k–$248k after Steam's cut $167k–$381k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsHidden Object
Milo and the Magpies
2021
Est. copies
≈ 85k–139k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$70k–$189k after Steam's cut $128k–$290k before Steam's cut
$2.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
The Cat Lady
2013
Est. copies
≈ 398k–648k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$8.99
6k reviews
Very Positive

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