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How many copies did Pumped BMX + sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–30k
$51k–$137k after Steam's cut $93k–$211k before Steam's cut
from 380 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pumped BMX + and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pumped BMX +'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k
best case 911k (Descenders)
Games like Pumped BMX +

A typical game among these

≈ 1k copies

≈ $4k after Steam's cut

from ~31 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Descenders at ≈ 694k–1.1M copies, ≈ $4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 1k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and Bikes (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Descenders
2019
Est. copies
≈ 694k–1.1M
777x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
SportsRacing
Shred! 2 - ft Sam Pilgrim
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
$9.99
231 reviews
Very Positive
IndieRacing
Downhill Pro Racer
2023
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$12.99
22 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessRacing
BMX Streets
2024
Est. copies
≈ 113k–183k
146x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$774k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
SportsSimulation
MTB Dirt
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
46 reviews
Mixed
SportsBMX
Pumped BMX Pro
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
$14.99
166 reviews
Mixed
BikesBMX
PIPE by BMX Streets
2018
Est. copies
≈ 187k–304k
199x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$514k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $934k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
SportsSimulation
King Of Dirt
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$6.99
31 reviews
Mixed
BMXSports

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