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How many copies did Pumped BMX Pro sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
from 166 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pumped BMX Pro and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pumped BMX Pro's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 197k–578k
best case 911k (Descenders)
Games like Pumped BMX Pro

A typical game among these

≈ 197k–578k copies

≈ $1.2M–$5.1M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Descenders at ≈ 694k–1.1M copies, ≈ $4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 1k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and Bikes (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports + Racing, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PIPE by BMX Streets
2018
Est. copies
≈ 187k–304k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$514k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $934k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
SportsSimulation
MTB Dirt
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
46 reviews
Mixed
SportsBMX
Pumped BMX +
2015
Est. copies
≈ 19k–30k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$51k–$137k after Steam's cut $93k–$211k before Steam's cut
$9.99
380 reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsBikes
King Of Dirt
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$6.99
31 reviews
Mixed
BMXSports
BMX Streets
2024
Est. copies
≈ 113k–183k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$774k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
SportsSimulation
Descenders
2019
Est. copies
≈ 694k–1.1M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
SportsRacing
Shred! 2 - ft Sam Pilgrim
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
$9.99
231 reviews
Very Positive
IndieRacing
Downhill Pro Racer
2023
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$12.99
22 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessRacing

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