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How many copies did The Aquatic Adventure of the Last Human sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$60k–$162k after Steam's cut $110k–$249k before Steam's cut
from 527 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Aquatic Adventure of the Last Human and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Aquatic Adventure of the Last Human's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 150k–1.3M
best case 2.6M (Rain World)
Games like The Aquatic Adventure of the Last Human

A typical game among these

≈ 150k–1.3M copies

≈ $957k–$12.4M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Metroidvania (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Rain World at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 981 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (4 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Exploration, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

UNSIGHTED
2021
Est. copies
≈ 56k–90k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$305k–$821k after Steam's cut $555k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
FAR: Changing Tides
2022
Est. copies
≈ 142k–230k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$778k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericAction-Adventure
Darksiders™
2010
Est. copies
≈ 818k–1.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
ENDER LILIES: Quietus of the Knights
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Big Fish
2025
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$170–$459 after Steam's cut $309–$706 before Steam's cut
$4.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Metroidvania2D Platformer
Sunkenland
2023
Est. copies
≈ 595k–967k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessOpen World Survival Craft
Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric
HAAK
2022
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $786k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerMetroidvania

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