How much revenue did Nex Machina make?

$416k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nex Machina sell?

Q: How many copies did Nex Machina sell?

76k to 123k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 76k–123k; $416k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $756k–$1.7M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nex Machina and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nex Machina's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 88k–204k

best case 877k (Soulstone Survivors)

Games like Nex Machina

A typical game among these

≈ 88k–204k copies

≈ $456k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Soulstone Survivors at ≈ 668k–1.1M copies, ≈ $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 779 to 23k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Bullet Hell (8 of 8) and Arcade (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Early Access + Action RPG + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Soulstone Survivors 2025	Est. copies ≈ 668k–1.1M 9.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Assault Android Cactus+ 2015	Est. copies ≈ 99k–160k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $542k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $985k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Bullet Hell Twin Stick Shooter
Beat Hazard 2010	Est. copies ≈ 471k–765k 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic-Based Procedural Generation
Beat Hazard 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 65k–106k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $340k–$914k after Steam's cut $618k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$18.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic-Based Procedural Generation
Patch Quest 2023	Est. copies ≈ 69k–113k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $286k–$768k after Steam's cut $519k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AdventureCreature Collector
Rogue: Genesia 2025	Est. copies ≈ 213k–346k 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $878k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Windowkill 2024	Est. copies ≈ 93k–151k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $127k–$342k after Steam's cut $232k–$527k before Steam's cut	$4.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionIndie
KILL KNIGHT 2024	Est. copies ≈ 51k–82k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $209k–$561k after Steam's cut $380k–$864k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	StylizedBullet Hell