How much revenue did Mafia make?

$4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mafia sell?

Q: How many copies did Mafia sell?

1.0M to 1.7M copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.0M–1.7M; $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mafia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mafia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–5.7M

best case 3.6M (Mafia: Definitive Edition)

Games like Mafia

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–5.7M copies

≈ $42.0M–$56.4M after Steam's cut

from ~82k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mafia: Definitive Edition at ≈ 2.8M–4.5M copies, ≈ $30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Crime (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Crime, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Yakuza 0 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAction
A Way Out 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.1M–$56.7M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	103k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpCo-op
Mafia II (Classic) 2011	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	59k reviews Very Positive	ActionOpen World
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas 2008	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	83k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.6M–$66.2M after Steam's cut $44.7M–$101.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	80k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Mafia: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	111k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldCrime
Hitman: Absolution™ 2012	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	64k reviews Very Positive	StealthAction
Watch_Dogs® 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $59.1M–$158.9M after Steam's cut $107.5M–$244.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	103k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldHacking