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How big is StarBreak?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 54k–88k
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid StarBreak and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including StarBreak's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–4.0M
best case 7.3M (Dead Cells)
Games like StarBreak

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–4.0M copies

≈ $8.0M–$40.0M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Dead Cells at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 88 to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Metroidvania, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BlazBlue Entropy Effect
2024
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeAction-Adventure
HoloCure - Save the Fans!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsBullet Hell
Dead Cells
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
184k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike
Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
KUNAI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$70k–$188k after Steam's cut $127k–$289k before Steam's cut
$16.99
604 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAction
Gods Wars : infinity Epic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$9.99
109 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGLoot
Streets of Rogue
2019
Est. copies
≈ 665k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Abalyte
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203 reviews
Mixed
RoguevaniaAction Roguelike

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