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How big is Special Tactics?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 5k–9k
from 130 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Special Tactics and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Special Tactics's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 681k–1.2M
best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)
Games like Special Tactics

A typical game among these

≈ 681k–1.2M copies

≈ $3.0M–$10.9M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 223 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8) and RTS (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tactics.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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ManagementMining
Minion Masters
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3.7x vs typical
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PvETrading Card Game
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Freestyle 2: Street Basketball
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≈ 1.0M–1.6M
2.3x vs typical
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