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How many copies did The Town of Light sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 118k–192k
$615k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Town of Light and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Town of Light's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 66k–247k
best case 425k (Yume Nikki)
Games like The Town of Light

A typical game among these

≈ 66k–247k copies

≈ $171k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Yume Nikki at ≈ 324k–526k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 616 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RPGMaker + Psychological Horror.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

INDIKA
2024
Est. copies
≈ 238k–387k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
SurrealPuzzle
The Suicide of Rachel Foster
2020
Est. copies
≈ 172k–279k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$849k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
7k reviews
Mixed
Misao - 2024 HD Remaster
2017
Est. copies
≈ 89k–144k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$243k–$654k after Steam's cut $442k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Great North Shelter 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$978–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
48 reviews
Positive
ExplorationHidden Object
Yume Nikki
2018
Est. copies
≈ 324k–526k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
IndieFree to Play
The Path
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67k–109k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$184k–$494k after Steam's cut $334k–$760k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Dreaming Sarah
2015
Est. copies
≈ 140k–228k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$231k–$621k after Steam's cut $420k–$955k before Steam's cut
$5.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPuzzle-Platformer
Vasilis
2019
Est. copies
≈ 490–796
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$8.99
17 reviews
Mixed
HorrorInvestigation

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