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How many copies did INDIKA sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 238k–387k
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid INDIKA and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including INDIKA's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–4.3M
best case 4.8M (Inscryption)
Games like INDIKA

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–4.3M copies

≈ $7.2M–$23.4M after Steam's cut

from ~49k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Inscryption at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 10k to 20k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Battler + Card Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OneShot
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
65k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
Layers of Fear (2016)
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Baba Is You
2019
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
LIMBO
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut
$12.49
62k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
Buckshot Roulette
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$2.99
127k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerDark
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
Amnesia: The Dark Descent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
ANIMAL WELL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration

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