How much revenue did Raw Data make?

$941k–$2.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Raw Data sell?

Q: How many copies did Raw Data sell?

86k to 139k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 86k–139k; $941k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Raw Data and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Raw Data's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17.2M–27.4M

best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)

Games like Raw Data

A typical game among these

≈ 17.2M–27.4M copies

≈ $201.9M–$292.1M after Steam's cut

from ~552k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the range was 459 to 40k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and VR (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Phasmophobia 2020	Est. copies ≈ 20.9M–33.9M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	842k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
All-In-One Sports VR 2023	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $105k–$283k after Steam's cut $191k–$435k before Steam's cut	$19.99	771 reviews Very Positive	VRSimulation
Subnautica 2018	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	381k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Forza Horizon 4 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
VR SUPER SPORTS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut	$12.99	122 reviews Mixed	SportsAction