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How many copies did Onechanbara Z2: Chaos sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 44k–72k
$489k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $889k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Onechanbara Z2: Chaos and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Onechanbara Z2: Chaos's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 966k–1.4M
best case 6.9M (NieR:Automata™)
Games like Onechanbara Z2: Chaos

A typical game among these

≈ 966k–1.4M copies

≈ $7.4M–$12.1M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NieR:Automata™ at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (8 of 8) and Hack and Slash (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Female Protagonist, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Story Rich + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content
Bright Memory: Infinite
2021
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Action Taimanin
2020
Est. copies
≈ 482k–783k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
19k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Tales of Berseria™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 651k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
ICEY
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut
$10.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist
Bright Memory
2020
Est. copies
≈ 821k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$7.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistFPS
Bayonetta
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist

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