How much revenue did Overload make?

$542k–$1.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Overload sell?

Q: How many copies did Overload sell?

66k to 107k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 66k–107k; $542k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $985k–$2.2M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Overload and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Overload's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 95k–151k

best case 526k (Hired Ops)

Games like Overload

A typical game among these

≈ 95k–151k copies

≈ $1.0M–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hired Ops at ≈ 401k–651k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 124 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (7 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Free to Play + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PULSAR: Lost Colony 2021	Est. copies ≈ 142k–231k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $782k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Space SimOpen World
Strike Vector 2014	Est. copies ≈ 123k–200k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Mixed	ActionMultiplayer
SharpShooter3D 2023	Est. copies ≈ 57k–92k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$451k before Steam's cut	$6.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionFPS
Raw Data 2017	Est. copies ≈ 86k–139k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $941k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	VRAction
Hired Ops 2021	Est. copies ≈ 401k–651k 6.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Mixed	FPSMultiplayer
Metro Awakening 2024	Est. copies ≈ 89k–145k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $737k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	VRExploration
Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 68k–111k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	3k reviews Very Positive	VRAction
Boundary 2023	Est. copies ≈ 398k–647k 6.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Mixed	Early AccessFPS