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How many copies did PataNoir sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 640–1k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
from 16 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left PataNoir out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including PataNoir's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–2.8M
best case 3.6M (Mirror 2: Project X)

All 7 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 1.2M–2.8M copies
≈ $1.3M–$8.1M after Steam's cut
from ~36k reviews
Best case
≈ 2.8M–4.5M copies
Mirror 2: Project X · ≈ $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (3 of 7) and Visual Novel (3 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Anime, priced around $2.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2022, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

LoveChoice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 904k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$495k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $899k–$2.0M before the cut
$1.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
RomanceDating Sim
To the Moon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before the cut
$9.99
86k reviews
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Story RichGreat Soundtrack
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 897k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$368k–$989k after Steam's cut $669k–$1.5M before the cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
There Is No Game: Wrong Dimension
2020
Est. copies
≈ 678k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before the cut
$12.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieAdventure
Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$893k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before the cut
$2.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Mirror 2: Project X
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before the cut
$1.99
116k reviews
Mostly Negative
3DMatch 3
The Henry Stickmin Collection
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before the cut
$14.99
59k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FunnyMultiple Endings

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.