How much revenue did StarFringe: Adversus make?

$10k–$26k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did StarFringe: Adversus sell?

Q: How many copies did StarFringe: Adversus sell?

6k to 10k copies, based on its 236 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–10k; $10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut; from 236 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid StarFringe: Adversus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including StarFringe: Adversus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 626k–1.0M

best case 3.0M (Dyson Sphere Program)

Games like StarFringe: Adversus

A typical game among these

≈ 626k–1.0M copies

≈ $5.4M–$7.4M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dyson Sphere Program at ≈ 2.3M–3.7M copies, ≈ $12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 26k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (7 of 8) and Sci-fi (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Automation + Space, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Automation + Open World + Resource Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dyson Sphere Program 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M 7.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	92k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationSpace
Planetbase 2015	Est. copies ≈ 511k–830k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	Colony Sim City Builder
Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade 2007	Est. copies ≈ 603k–980k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyWarhammer 40K
Supreme Commander: Forged Alliance 2011	Est. copies ≈ 910k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut	$12.99	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyRTS
Planetary Annihilation: TITANS 2015	Est. copies ≈ 718k–1.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	15k reviews Very Positive	RTSStrategy
Sins of a Solar Empire II 2024	Est. copies ≈ 218k–354k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	9k reviews Very Positive	SpaceStrategy
IXION 2022	Est. copies ≈ 443k–719k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	18k reviews Mostly Positive	SpaceCity Builder
Supreme Commander 2 2010	Est. copies ≈ 821k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut	$12.99	13k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS