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How many copies did Runbow sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$21k–$56k after Steam's cut $38k–$87k before Steam's cut
from 122 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Runbow and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Runbow's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 302k–384k
best case 2.0M (SpeedRunners)
Games like Runbow

A typical game among these

≈ 302k–384k copies

≈ $295k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: SpeedRunners at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (7 of 8) and 3D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Fast-Paced; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sonic Adventure 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
ActionGreat Soundtrack
Distance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 231k–375k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RacingGreat Soundtrack
Sonic Generations Collection
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerGreat Soundtrack
SpeedRunners
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRacing
Defy Gravity Extended
2016
Est. copies
≈ 355k–576k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$194k–$522k after Steam's cut $353k–$803k before Steam's cut
$1.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Sonic Adventure DX
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.8M before Steam's cut
$7.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerGreat Soundtrack
Transformice
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Kao the Kangaroo: Round 2 (2003 re-release)
2019
Est. copies
≈ 229k–373k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$125k–$337k after Steam's cut $228k–$519k before Steam's cut
$1.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Adventure3D Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.