Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did ESEA sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 172k–280k
from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ESEA and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ESEA's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18.4M–45.9M
best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like ESEA

A typical game among these

≈ 18.4M–45.9M copies

≈ $78.4M–$741.4M after Steam's cut

from ~937k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Mature (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 291 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 326k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mature (4 of 8) and Animation & Modeling (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.5M–164.9M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
923k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
937k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
HAELE 3D - Feet Poses Lite - Drawing References
2023
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$17.99
24 reviews
Positive
Design & IllustrationAnimation & Modeling
VTube Studio
2021
Est. copies
≈ 183k–297k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
IndieMature

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.