How much revenue did Morphblade make?

$27k–$74k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Morphblade sell?

Q: How many copies did Morphblade sell?

20k to 32k copies, based on its 581 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 20k–32k; $27k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$113k before Steam's cut; from 581 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Morphblade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Morphblade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 959–1k

best case 46k (Greed Corp)

Games like Morphblade

A typical game among these

≈ 959–1k copies

≈ $704–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~35 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Greed Corp at ≈ 35k–57k copies, ≈ $97k–$260k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 199.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Hex Grid (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Touch-Friendly, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Syzygy 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	44 reviews Positive	PuzzleSokoban
Hexa Turn 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3k–6k 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$2.99	113 reviews Very Positive	CasualIndie
HyperRogue 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24k–39k 14x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $67k–$179k after Steam's cut $121k–$276k before Steam's cut	$9.99	497 reviews Very Positive	Traditional RoguelikePsychedelic
Greed Corp 2010	Est. copies ≈ 35k–57k 16x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $97k–$260k after Steam's cut $176k–$399k before Steam's cut	$9.99	556 reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based
Oaken 2023	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k 11x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $54k–$144k after Steam's cut $98k–$222k before Steam's cut	$19.99	394 reviews Mostly Positive	Turn-Based TacticsCard Battler
Hive 2014	Est. copies ≈ 18k–28k 8.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $48k–$129k after Steam's cut $88k–$199k before Steam's cut	$9.99	313 reviews Very Positive	Asynchronous MultiplayerTurn-Based Strategy
Hexanome 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $875–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$2.99	35 reviews Positive	CasualStrategy
BasCatball Jupiter: Basketball & Cat 2021	Est. copies ≈ 397–645 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$898 before Steam's cut	$1.99	16 reviews Positive	PuzzleCasual