How much revenue did Oaken make?

$54k–$144k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Oaken sell?

Q: How many copies did Oaken sell?

10k to 16k copies, based on its 394 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–16k; $54k–$144k after Steam's cut $98k–$222k before Steam's cut; from 394 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oaken and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Oaken's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 106k–237k

best case 749k (Monster Train)

Games like Oaken

A typical game among these

≈ 106k–237k copies

≈ $799k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Monster Train at ≈ 570k–927k copies, ≈ $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (7 of 8) and Card Battler (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Battler + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Banners of Ruin 2021	Est. copies ≈ 81k–131k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $443k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $805k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Rogue-like
Black Book 2021	Est. copies ≈ 168k–272k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
Monster Train 2020	Est. copies ≈ 570k–927k 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
StarVaders 2025	Est. copies ≈ 109k–178k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $751k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Deckbuilding
Alina of the Arena 2022	Est. copies ≈ 98k–160k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $738k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Rogue-like
LONESTAR 2025	Est. copies ≈ 61k–99k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $217k–$583k after Steam's cut $394k–$896k before Steam's cut	$12.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeStrategy
Wildfrost 2023	Est. copies ≈ 220k–357k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerDifficult
Trials of Fire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 81k–131k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics