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How many copies did Renoir sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
from 151 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Renoir and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Renoir's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–222k
best case 1.1M (Gunpoint)
Games like Renoir

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–222k copies

≈ $59k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Gunpoint at ≈ 843k–1.4M copies, ≈ $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 69 reviews in their first month; the range was 44 to 250.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Noir (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Stealth + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Genesis Noir
2021
Est. copies
≈ 57k–92k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$234k–$629k after Steam's cut $425k–$967k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
NoirPoint & Click
Tails Noir: Rebel Rush
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$4.94
97 reviews
Very Positive
The Library of Babel
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$47k before Steam's cut
$18.99
87 reviews
Mostly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Anoxemia
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21k–35k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$53k–$142k after Steam's cut $96k–$219k before Steam's cut
$8.99
439 reviews
Mixed
PhysicsPuzzle-Platformer
Contrast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 361k–587k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$992k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
IndieFemale Protagonist
Gunpoint
2013
Est. copies
≈ 843k–1.4M
9.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthIndie
Three of Cards
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
346 reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGSuperhero
FRAMED Collection
2018
Est. copies
≈ 105k–171k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$289k–$776k after Steam's cut $525k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual

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