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How big is Three of Cards?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 9k–14k
from 346 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Three of Cards and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Three of Cards's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–20.2M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like Three of Cards

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–20.2M copies

≈ $64k–$915.2M after Steam's cut

from ~427 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 121 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (5 of 7) and Open World (3 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

MENTAL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
81 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessOpen World
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
2103x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
A Raving Lunatic
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
AdventureAction
Gotham Knights
2022
Est. copies
≈ 627k–1.0M
59x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.3M–$27.8M after Steam's cut $18.8M–$42.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
25k reviews
Mixed
ActionOpen World
Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
2840x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
DC's Justice League: Cosmic Chaos
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
149 reviews
Very Positive
ActionSuperhero
Fallen Hero: Retribution
2023
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$35k–$94k after Steam's cut $63k–$144k before Steam's cut
$11.99
427 reviews
Very Positive
CasualRPG

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