How much revenue did Victoria 3 make?

$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Victoria 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Victoria 3 sell?

1.6M to 2.5M copies, based on its 63k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.6M–2.5M; $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.4M before Steam's cut; from 63k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Victoria 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Victoria 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–6.3M

best case 17.5M (Sid Meier's Civilization® V)

Games like Victoria 3

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–6.3M copies

≈ $14.1M–$117.9M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier's Civilization® V at ≈ 13.3M–21.7M copies, ≈ $110.0M–$295.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 17k to 44k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Grand Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Turn-Based, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Europa Universalis IV 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.5M–13.8M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	134k reviews Very Positive	Grand StrategyStrategy
Sid Meier's Civilization VII 2025	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.1M–$123.0M before Steam's cut	$69.99	62k reviews Mixed	Grand StrategyHistorical
Crusader Kings III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	143k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMedieval
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic 2024	Est. copies ≈ 682k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	27k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Sid Meier's Civilization® V 2010	Est. copies ≈ 13.3M–21.7M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $110.0M–$295.6M after Steam's cut $199.9M–$454.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	211k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Turn-Based StrategyStrategy
Manor Lords 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	93k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Victoria II 2010	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$29.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	21k reviews Very Positive	Grand StrategyStrategy