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How many copies did Victoria II sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$29.9M before Steam's cut
from 21k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Victoria II and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Victoria II's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 67k–120k
best case 6.1M (Crusader Kings II)
Games like Victoria II

A typical game among these

≈ 67k–120k copies

≈ $288k–$724k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Crusader Kings II at ≈ 4.7M–7.6M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 815 to 35k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Historical (8 of 8) and Grand Strategy (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Historical + Grand Strategy, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Age of History II
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut
$5.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Crisis in the Kremlin
2017
Est. copies
≈ 50k–82k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$69k–$186k after Steam's cut $126k–$286k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Political SimStrategy
Europa Universalis III Complete
2009
Est. copies
≈ 131k–213k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$541k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $984k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Ancient Warfare: The Han Dynasty
2023
Est. copies
≈ 52k–85k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$243k–$654k after Steam's cut $442k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$16.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessWar
Imperator: Rome
2019
Est. copies
≈ 773k–1.3M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.5M–$22.8M after Steam's cut $15.5M–$35.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mixed
StrategyGrand Strategy
Crusader Kings II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
35x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
74k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Victoria 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
63k reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyEconomy
Sid Meier's Civilization VII
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.1M–$123.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
62k reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyHistorical

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