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How many copies did Akuto: Showdown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 922–1k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 32 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Akuto: Showdown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Akuto: Showdown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–3.5M
best case 3.9M (Last Epoch)
Games like Akuto: Showdown

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–3.5M copies

≈ $4.9M–$49.5M after Steam's cut

from ~59k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Arena Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Last Epoch at ≈ 2.9M–4.8M copies, ≈ $28.3M–$76.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 234 to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arena Shooter (4 of 8) and Gore (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Loot, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Yet Another Zombie Defense HD
2017
Est. copies
≈ 128k–208k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$140k–$377k after Steam's cut $255k–$580k before Steam's cut
$3.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesTop-Down Shooter
Quake Champions
2022
Est. copies
≈ 972k–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
39k reviews
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Arena ShooterHero Shooter
The Last Man Survivor
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
$4.99
296 reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeDark Fantasy
Diablo® IV
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.8M–$72.1M after Steam's cut $48.8M–$111.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
79k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGHack and Slash
Last Epoch
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$28.3M–$76.0M after Steam's cut $51.4M–$116.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
118k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGLoot
Hatred
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$5.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
GoreViolent
Splitgate
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
110k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Wasteland 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 557k–904k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGCharacter Customization

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