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wishvane

How many copies did METAL GEAR SURVIVE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 173k–281k
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left METAL GEAR SURVIVE out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including METAL GEAR SURVIVE's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.7M–26.2M
best case 123.4M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
The First-Person genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 9.7M–26.2M copies
≈ $77.2M–$173.6M after Steam's cut
from ~289k reviews
Best case
≈ 94.0M–152.8M copies
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter, priced around $20.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$41.9M–$112.5M after Steam's cut $76.1M–$173.1M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.0M–152.8M
9.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Paladins®
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10.5M–17.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
345k reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterFree to Play
SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
232k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$271.9M–$731.1M after Steam's cut $494.4M–$1124.8M before the cut
$59.99
412k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.0M–14.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$49.6M–$133.4M after Steam's cut $90.2M–$205.2M before the cut
$19.99
226k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$94.1M–$253.0M after Steam's cut $171.1M–$389.2M before the cut
$59.99
188k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–6.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.5M–$63.2M after Steam's cut $42.7M–$97.2M before the cut
$19.99
124k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.