How much revenue did METAL GEAR SURVIVE make?

$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did METAL GEAR SURVIVE sell?

Q: How many copies did METAL GEAR SURVIVE sell?

174k to 282k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 174k–282k; $1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid METAL GEAR SURVIVE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including METAL GEAR SURVIVE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.8M–27.4M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like METAL GEAR SURVIVE

A typical game among these

≈ 9.8M–27.4M copies

≈ $78.4M–$175.4M after Steam's cut

from ~290k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 9.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Paladins® 2018	Est. copies ≈ 10.5M–17.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	345k reviews Very Positive	Hero ShooterFree to Play
SCP: Secret Laboratory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 8.1M–13.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	235k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
Far Cry® 5 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.8M–9.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	190k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction-Adventure
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Survival Horror