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How big is Onmyoji?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 94k–153k
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Onmyoji and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Onmyoji's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–4.8M
best case 7.7M (SMITE®)
Games like Onmyoji

A typical game among these

≈ 3.3M–4.8M copies

≈ $14.7M–$25.2M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: SMITE® at ≈ 5.9M–9.5M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (3 of 8) and Character Customization (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with MOBA + Third Person.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Clicker Heroes
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
62k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
DRAGON BALL XENOVERSE 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeFighting
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Black Desert
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
94k reviews
Mostly Positive
MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
SMITE®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMOBA
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGRPG
Source Filmmaker
2012
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44k reviews
Very Positive
Animation & ModelingFree to Play
DRAGON BALL Z: KAKAROT
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.0M–$21.4M after Steam's cut $14.5M–$32.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG

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