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How many copies did Outscape sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–19k
from 415 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outscape and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outscape's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–7.8M
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like Outscape

A typical game among these

≈ 2.9M–7.8M copies

≈ $7.9M–$77.4M after Steam's cut

from ~91k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.1M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
235k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Evolve Stage 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionMultiplayer
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PlanetSide 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
75k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Elite Dangerous
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSpace
Splitgate
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
110k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Pacify
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op

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