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How many copies did Fibrillation HD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–21k
$18k–$48k after Steam's cut $32k–$74k before Steam's cut
from 377 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fibrillation HD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fibrillation HD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 617k–3.2M
best case 11.6M (Outlast)
Games like Fibrillation HD

A typical game among these

≈ 617k–3.2M copies

≈ $4.8M–$20.1M after Steam's cut

from ~31k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Outlast at ≈ 8.8M–14.4M copies, ≈ $36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Psychological Horror (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Amnesia: The Dark Descent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
The Beast Inside
2019
Est. copies
≈ 351k–570k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure
Visage
2020
Est. copies
≈ 274k–445k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.4M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut $66.3M–$150.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
140k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
港詭實錄ParanormalHK
2020
Est. copies
≈ 510k–829k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorSexual Content
Layers of Fear (2016)
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$25.8M before Steam's cut
$7.99
83k reviews
Very Positive
The Evil Within
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$43.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.