How much revenue did Pictopix make?

$100k–$269k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Pictopix sell?

Q: How many copies did Pictopix sell?

52k to 84k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 52k–84k; $100k–$269k after Steam's cut $182k–$413k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pictopix and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pictopix's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–3.5M

best case 8.8M (It Takes Two)

Games like Pictopix

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–3.5M copies

≈ $13.9M–$23.5M after Steam's cut

from ~59k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: It Takes Two at ≈ 6.7M–10.9M copies, ≈ $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Dark (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Poppy Playtime 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	143k reviews Very Positive	HorrorFree to Play
Portal 2007	Est. copies ≈ 12.6M–20.5M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	199k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
LIMBO 2011	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut	$12.49	62k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
Little Nightmares II 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.3M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	59k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAdventure
Firework 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	44k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
Helltaker 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayCute
It Takes Two 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	270k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opMultiplayer