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How big is Killer Instinct?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 196k–318k
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Killer Instinct and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Killer Instinct's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–2.7M
best case 4.3M (TEKKEN 7)
Games like Killer Instinct

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–2.7M copies

≈ $20.7M–$53.5M after Steam's cut

from ~56k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: TEKKEN 7 at ≈ 3.3M–5.3M copies, ≈ $36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (8 of 8) and 2D Fighter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + Competitive, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mortal Kombat Komplete Edition
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 468k–760k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
19k reviews
Very Positive
FightingGore
TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction
Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE-
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.3M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
Injustice™ 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 846k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.3M after Steam's cut $21.1M–$48.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction
DRAGON BALL FighterZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.6M–$103.7M after Steam's cut $70.1M–$159.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAnime
Street Fighter V
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Mixed
FightingAction
Rivals of Aether
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Fighting2D Fighter

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