How much revenue did Arms Race - TCWE make?

$6k–$17k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Arms Race - TCWE sell?

Q: How many copies did Arms Race - TCWE sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 68 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut; from 68 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arms Race - TCWE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arms Race - TCWE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–4k

best case 66k (Crisis in the Kremlin)

Games like Arms Race - TCWE

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–4k copies

≈ $7k–$29k after Steam's cut

from ~79 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Crisis in the Kremlin at ≈ 50k–82k copies, ≈ $69k–$186k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 41 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 180.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Cold War (7 of 8) and Political Sim (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Political Sim + Simulation, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Indie + Politics + Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Jey's Empire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut	$14.99	85 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventurePolitical Sim
China: Mao's legacy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 30k–49k 13x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $58k–$156k after Steam's cut $105k–$240k before Steam's cut	$6.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Political SimStrategy
Crisis in the Kremlin 2017	Est. copies ≈ 50k–82k 19x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $69k–$186k after Steam's cut $126k–$286k before Steam's cut	$4.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Political SimStrategy
SGS NATO's Nightmare 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $28k–$76k after Steam's cut $52k–$117k before Steam's cut	$34.99	119 reviews Mostly Positive	WargameStrategy
The Cold War Era 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$4.99	26 reviews Mixed	SimulationIndie
Terminal Conflict 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before Steam's cut	$29.99	72 reviews Mixed	SimulationStrategy
Here to Stay 2023	Est. copies ≈ 595–967 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$7.99	24 reviews Mixed	StrategyGrand Strategy
Maestro's Cold War 2 2026	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut	$12.99	180 reviews Very Positive	Cold WarTurn-Based Strategy