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How many copies did Night Lights sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
from 78 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Night Lights and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Night Lights's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15k–2.6M
best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Night Lights

A typical game among these

≈ 15k–2.6M copies

≈ $29k–$17.9M after Steam's cut

from ~602 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 105 reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (6 of 8) and Precision Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
75x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Schein
2014
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$105k before Steam's cut
$4.99
330 reviews
Mostly Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Mushroom Hunter
2021
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
30 reviews
Positive
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
248x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Toodee and Topdee
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$119k–$320k after Steam's cut $216k–$492k before Steam's cut
$19.99
873 reviews
Very Positive
ControllerPuzzle
Soulless: Ray Of Hope
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$4.99
330 reviews
Mostly Positive
Side ScrollerSokoban
Brain Break
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before Steam's cut
$4.99
187 reviews
Mostly Positive
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
1076x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic

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