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How many copies did Mayhem in Single Valley sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$33k–$90k after Steam's cut $61k–$138k before Steam's cut
from 326 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mayhem in Single Valley and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mayhem in Single Valley's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.6M–9.4M
best case 13.0M (Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition)
Games like Mayhem in Single Valley

A typical game among these

≈ 5.6M–9.4M copies

≈ $23.7M–$43.8M after Steam's cut

from ~74k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 2.5D (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition at ≈ 9.9M–16.1M copies, ≈ $13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 12 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2.5D (3 of 8) and Comedy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Zombies, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
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Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition
2009
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2.1x vs typical
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too small to compare
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too small to compare
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