How much revenue did Rival Megagun make?

$10k–$26k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Rival Megagun sell?

Q: How many copies did Rival Megagun sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 76 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut; from 76 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rival Megagun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rival Megagun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 183k–405k

best case 478k (Nova Drift)

Games like Rival Megagun

A typical game among these

≈ 183k–405k copies

≈ $596k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Nova Drift at ≈ 364k–592k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Bullet Hell (8 of 8) and Shoot 'Em Up (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Arena Shooter, priced around $18.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
LUFTRAUSERS 2014	Est. copies ≈ 253k–412k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $696k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Very Positive	IndieBullet Hell
Star of Providence 2017	Est. copies ≈ 116k–189k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $479k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $870k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Rogue-lite Bullet Hell
Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons. 2017	Est. copies ≈ 156k–254k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $645k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Bullet HellGreat Soundtrack
Voidigo 2023	Est. copies ≈ 122k–199k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $168k–$451k after Steam's cut $305k–$694k before Steam's cut	$4.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Nova Drift 2024	Est. copies ≈ 364k–592k 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$17.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Savant - Ascent 2013	Est. copies ≈ 176k–286k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $96k–$259k after Steam's cut $175k–$398k before Steam's cut	$1.99	3k reviews Very Positive	ActionIndie
RANK RUNNER 2019	Est. copies ≈ 461–749 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $125–$337 after Steam's cut $228–$519 before Steam's cut	$0.99	16 reviews Mostly Positive	Bullet HellRunner
Beat Hazard 2010	Est. copies ≈ 471k–765k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic-Based Procedural Generation