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How many copies did Wonderful Everyday Down the Rabbit-Hole sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 95k–155k
$785k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wonderful Everyday Down the Rabbit-Hole and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wonderful Everyday Down the Rabbit-Hole's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 63k–211k
best case 1.1M (Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk)
Games like Wonderful Everyday Down the Rabbit-Hole

A typical game among these

≈ 63k–211k copies

≈ $644k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk at ≈ 853k–1.4M copies, ≈ $349k–$939k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 240 reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 294.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Anime (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Psychological Horror, priced around $1.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The House in Fata Morgana
2016
Est. copies
≈ 284k–462k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Umineko When They Cry - Question Arcs
2016
Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$825k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackVisual Novel
Hello Charlotte EP3: Childhood's End
2018
Est. copies
≈ 106k–172k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$116k–$312k after Steam's cut $211k–$481k before Steam's cut
$3.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetaWare High School (Demo)
2020
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
699 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelPhilosophical
Locke(d)
2023
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
PhilosophicalConversation
Umineko When They Cry - Answer Arcs
2017
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$452k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $822k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackVisual Novel
Hello Charlotte EP2: Requiem Aeternam Deo
2016
Est. copies
≈ 102k–165k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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