How many copies did Locke(d) sell?

28k to 45k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Locke(d) make?

Locke(d) is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Locke(d)?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 28k–45k; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Locke(d) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Locke(d)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 34k–66k

best case 88k (Subsurface Circular)

Games like Locke(d)

A typical game among these

≈ 34k–66k copies

≈ $115k–$255k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Subsurface Circular at ≈ 67k–108k copies, ≈ $110k–$295k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 142 reviews in their first month; the range was 26 to 289.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Philosophical (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Investigation, priced around $6.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Subsurface Circular 2017	Est. copies ≈ 67k–108k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $110k–$295k after Steam's cut $200k–$454k before Steam's cut	$5.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelInvestigation
Thing-in-Itself 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$2.49	127 reviews Mostly Positive	EmotionalPhilosophical
Far from Noise 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut	$7.99	202 reviews Very Positive	ConversationNarrative
Hitchhiker - A Mystery Game 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $23k–$63k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut	$14.99	228 reviews Mostly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
Adios 2021	Est. copies ≈ 34k–55k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $166k–$447k after Steam's cut $302k–$688k before Steam's cut	$17.99	1k reviews Very Positive	MysteryThriller
DIVINATION 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut	$1.99	209 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelCyberpunk
Paws of Coal 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut	$4.99	76 reviews Very Positive	AdventureDetective
Many Nights a Whisper 2025	Est. copies ≈ 18k–30k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut	$2.99	744 reviews Very Positive	CasualAdventure