How much revenue did Paws of Coal make?

$3k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Paws of Coal sell?

Q: How many copies did Paws of Coal sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 76 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut; from 76 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paws of Coal and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paws of Coal's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 359k–693k

best case 3.1M (L.A. Noire)

Games like Paws of Coal

A typical game among these

≈ 359k–693k copies

≈ $3.3M–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: L.A. Noire at ≈ 2.3M–3.8M copies, ≈ $12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 946 to 7k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Detective (8 of 8) and Mystery (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Detective + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Enigma of Fear 2024	Est. copies ≈ 257k–417k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MysteryInvestigation
Sherlock Holmes: The Devil's Daughter 2016	Est. copies ≈ 604k–982k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	15k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureDetective
Unheard - Voices of Crime 2019	Est. copies ≈ 981k–1.6M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut	$6.99	34k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectivePuzzle
Murders on the Yangtze River 2024	Est. copies ≈ 528k–858k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveAdventure
Heavy Rain 2020	Est. copies ≈ 788k–1.3M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$17.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Strange Horticulture 2022	Est. copies ≈ 401k–652k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut	$15.99	16k reviews Very Positive	MysteryPuzzle
L.A. Noire 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	37k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveCrime
The Case of the Golden Idol 2022	Est. copies ≈ 273k–444k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$17.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MysteryDetective